Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 70.603130 79.531316 88.701488 98.793084 109.556339 120.663584 132.963145
2025-01-12 56.107979 68.766987 82.400717 98.048110 115.387262 133.899028 155.044402
2025-01-19 46.177809 60.563768 76.641627 95.678564 117.354223 141.039040 168.653303
2025-01-26 41.920833 58.052189 76.611623 99.110112 125.240276 154.267283 188.594658
2025-02-02 38.053964 55.463692 76.037567 101.508198 131.605672 165.513106 206.092227
2025-02-09 33.132975 51.070233 72.884762 100.488047 133.681689 171.603173 217.517252
2025-02-16 28.937040 47.173770 69.985842 99.457328 135.477919 177.155413 228.146040
2025-02-23 26.138044 44.824365 68.789176 100.308440 139.362420 185.027753 241.375264
2025-03-02 23.296181 42.151016 66.966302 100.198995 141.937488 191.245244 252.588707
2025-03-09 21.076639 40.137777 65.840292 100.832690 145.316950 198.346163 264.793494
2025-03-16 18.462216 37.314444 63.447023 99.680267 146.352822 202.533279 273.466036
2025-03-23 16.971642 36.024165 63.029521 101.014196 150.443349 210.384026 286.499941
2025-03-30 15.734728 35.044902 63.010141 102.881088 155.257818 219.206547 300.838183
2025-04-06 13.758421 32.706753 60.941597 101.907958 156.374957 223.447105 309.626180
2025-04-13 11.612276 29.847569 57.939379 99.513939 155.532304 225.163754 315.265878
2025-04-20 11.205930 29.930041 59.240181 103.023086 162.382046 236.482508 332.675609
2025-04-27 10.571955 29.544447 59.800557 105.479101 167.841347 246.065960 347.977285
2025-05-04 9.182199 27.626907 57.926636 104.434588 168.613129 249.707147 355.930738
2025-05-11 7.935145 25.818851 56.108897 103.379309 169.301795 253.194839 363.661450
2025-05-18 7.192692 24.917100 55.661884 104.250723 172.549479 259.927052 375.426476
2025-05-25 6.335959 23.665722 54.577219 104.138670 174.428053 264.884893 384.967870
2025-06-01 5.690555 22.780620 54.037126 104.787446 177.318324 271.132411 396.126564
2025-06-08 4.818213 21.242707 52.314381 103.607570 177.647969 274.037407 403.060858